Für die DGI´ler unter den potentiellen Market-Timern: Dividend Yield Theory!
"... Dividend yield theory is simple and intuitive. It basically says that for blue-chip dividend stocks, meaning those with stable business models that don't significantly change over time, dividend yields tend to revert to the mean.
In other words, a stock's dividend yield fluctuates around a relatively fixed level over the years that approximates fair value. If the stock's current yield is far enough above its historical yield, then the stock is likely undervalued. And if its yield is beneath its historical norm, then the stock could be overvalued. ... The reason this makes intuitive sense is because stock prices follow earnings over time. ... So if stock prices follow earnings, and blue-chip dividend stocks tend to pay out a consistent amount of their earnings as dividends (i.e. they maintain a stable payout ratio and safe dividend), then there could be a connection with stock prices tracking dividends as well. ... "
https://www.simplysafedividends.com/inte...-explained
"... Dividend yield theory is simple and intuitive. It basically says that for blue-chip dividend stocks, meaning those with stable business models that don't significantly change over time, dividend yields tend to revert to the mean.
In other words, a stock's dividend yield fluctuates around a relatively fixed level over the years that approximates fair value. If the stock's current yield is far enough above its historical yield, then the stock is likely undervalued. And if its yield is beneath its historical norm, then the stock could be overvalued. ... The reason this makes intuitive sense is because stock prices follow earnings over time. ... So if stock prices follow earnings, and blue-chip dividend stocks tend to pay out a consistent amount of their earnings as dividends (i.e. they maintain a stable payout ratio and safe dividend), then there could be a connection with stock prices tracking dividends as well. ... "
https://www.simplysafedividends.com/inte...-explained