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RE: Was die Märkte bewegt - News, Infos, Meldungen, Analysen, Kommentare & Interessantes
| 12.10.2022, 14:08 (Dieser Beitrag wurde zuletzt bearbeitet: 12.10.2022, 14:10 von boersenkater.)
The stock market's 'nightmare' chart is already a reality: Morning Brief 142
Ethan Wolff-Mann·Senior Writer/Chief-of-staff
Wed, October 12, 2022 at 12:00 PM·4 min read
One of the most interesting bits of analysis that gets passed around is a chart tucked into Bank of America’s Global Fund Manager Survey.
It’s the “Biggest Tail Risk” chart over time, and it shows what approximately 250 fund managers view as the rare-but-known joker in the deck that could reshuffle the markets in a potentially uncomfortable way.
https://finance.yahoo.com/news/the-stock...34578.html
MF chief economist: 'Worst is yet to come' for global economy
Jennifer Schonberger·Senior Reporter
Wed, October 12, 2022 at 1:02 PM·5 min read
The International Monetary Fund (IMF) downgraded its outlook for the global economy next year based on the effects of the war in Ukraine, global inflation that requires interest rate hikes and a slowdown in China.
“In short, the worst is yet to come, and for many people 2023 will feel like a recession,” IMF Chief Economist Pierre-Olivier Gourinchas stated.
The IMF, which is the primary financial institution of the United Nations, now forecasts global growth will slow next year by 2.7% — down from 2.9% estimated back in July and down from the 3.2% growth projected this year.
Gourinchas said that there is about a 25% probability that global growth in 2023 could be at about 2% while there's a 10%-15% chance that actually output growth could be even lower than 1%.
“2% is a very low number," Gourinchas told Yahoo Finance Live. "We only had that about five times since 1970. And every time we had this, if you look, it's 1973 the oil price shock, 1981 and the Volcker disinflation, the 2008 financial crisis. They are all stuck in our collective memory as times of difficulties.”.........
https://finance.yahoo.com/news/imf-downg...41702.html
Ethan Wolff-Mann·Senior Writer/Chief-of-staff
Wed, October 12, 2022 at 12:00 PM·4 min read
One of the most interesting bits of analysis that gets passed around is a chart tucked into Bank of America’s Global Fund Manager Survey.
It’s the “Biggest Tail Risk” chart over time, and it shows what approximately 250 fund managers view as the rare-but-known joker in the deck that could reshuffle the markets in a potentially uncomfortable way.
https://finance.yahoo.com/news/the-stock...34578.html
MF chief economist: 'Worst is yet to come' for global economy
Jennifer Schonberger·Senior Reporter
Wed, October 12, 2022 at 1:02 PM·5 min read
The International Monetary Fund (IMF) downgraded its outlook for the global economy next year based on the effects of the war in Ukraine, global inflation that requires interest rate hikes and a slowdown in China.
“In short, the worst is yet to come, and for many people 2023 will feel like a recession,” IMF Chief Economist Pierre-Olivier Gourinchas stated.
The IMF, which is the primary financial institution of the United Nations, now forecasts global growth will slow next year by 2.7% — down from 2.9% estimated back in July and down from the 3.2% growth projected this year.
Gourinchas said that there is about a 25% probability that global growth in 2023 could be at about 2% while there's a 10%-15% chance that actually output growth could be even lower than 1%.
“2% is a very low number," Gourinchas told Yahoo Finance Live. "We only had that about five times since 1970. And every time we had this, if you look, it's 1973 the oil price shock, 1981 and the Volcker disinflation, the 2008 financial crisis. They are all stuck in our collective memory as times of difficulties.”.........
https://finance.yahoo.com/news/imf-downg...41702.html
