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RE: boersenkater´s Trading-Pausen-Thread
| 14.06.2022, 15:58 (Dieser Beitrag wurde zuletzt bearbeitet: 14.06.2022, 15:58 von boersenkater.)
Need to Know
Strategist who nailed the recent S&P 500 top says three things are needed for a market bottom
Last Updated: June 14, 2022 at 9:39 a.m.
ET First Published: June 14, 2022 at 6:55 a.m. ET
Critical information for the U.S. trading day
Wariness is in order after the S&P 500’s bear-market finish and a potential 75 basis-point Fed hike just one day away. Gains for stock futures and a potential bounce are fading fast.
Morgan Stanley’s Mike Wilson, who can count some wins after pounding the table this year over a gloomy stock setup, told clients on Sunday that the S&P is “headed toward 3,400 before a more tradable low is in.”
...........“At a high level, we have yet to see a real VIX VIX, -0.68% spike yet and panic selling has not set in year. Generally speaking, we do not see bear markets bottom without panic selling, similar to what was seen in 2001 and 2020,” he told MarketWatch on Monday. “Historically speaking, no bear market has ever bottomed without a VIX reading of 45 or more.”.........
Indeed the Fed is in a tight spot, he says.
“If the Fed raises rate aggressively, then markets fall on recession fears, and if the Fed pulls back on their hawkish tone then markets fall on inflation worries,” said Kobeissi, adding that the central bank will “remain pedal to the metal this week and for the rest of this year as they have no option.”......
https://www.marketwatch.com/story/strate...=home-page
Strategist who nailed the recent S&P 500 top says three things are needed for a market bottom
Last Updated: June 14, 2022 at 9:39 a.m.
ET First Published: June 14, 2022 at 6:55 a.m. ET
Critical information for the U.S. trading day
Wariness is in order after the S&P 500’s bear-market finish and a potential 75 basis-point Fed hike just one day away. Gains for stock futures and a potential bounce are fading fast.
Morgan Stanley’s Mike Wilson, who can count some wins after pounding the table this year over a gloomy stock setup, told clients on Sunday that the S&P is “headed toward 3,400 before a more tradable low is in.”
...........“At a high level, we have yet to see a real VIX VIX, -0.68% spike yet and panic selling has not set in year. Generally speaking, we do not see bear markets bottom without panic selling, similar to what was seen in 2001 and 2020,” he told MarketWatch on Monday. “Historically speaking, no bear market has ever bottomed without a VIX reading of 45 or more.”.........
Indeed the Fed is in a tight spot, he says.
“If the Fed raises rate aggressively, then markets fall on recession fears, and if the Fed pulls back on their hawkish tone then markets fall on inflation worries,” said Kobeissi, adding that the central bank will “remain pedal to the metal this week and for the rest of this year as they have no option.”......
https://www.marketwatch.com/story/strate...=home-page
